Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort-Modelling and Prediction

Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort-Modelling and Prediction.

Future Declines of Coronary Heart Disease Mortality in England and Wales Could Counter the Burden of Population Ageing

Background: Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) remains a major cause of mortality in the United Kingdom. Yet predictions of future CHD mortality are potentially problematic due to population ageing and increase in obesity and diabetes. Here we explore …

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: current burden and future projections

Bayesianische Raum-Zeit-Modellierung in der Epidemiologie

Bayesian Extrapolation of Space–Time Trends in Cancer Registry Data

We apply a full Bayesian model framework to a dataset on stomach cancer mortality in West Germany. The data are stratified by age group, year, and district. Using an age-period-cohort model with an additional spatial component, our goal is to …

COPD mortality trends 1950-1999 in England & Wales - Did the 1956 Clean Air Act make a detectable difference?